Scotland · Scottish Premiership · 28 Oct 2026, 19:45
St JohnstonevsMotherwell
Upcoming · kicks off 19:45
Our callNo call yet: our analysis is under way.
See the calls of the day →Match report
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
- ScreeningCandidate · 09:10
- Detailed analysisNext
- Final checkDue about 18:30
CandidateScreening · 27 Oct 2026, 09:10
Candidate: St Johnstone v Motherwell, model reading only; the other markets are to be priced
- Home win31.3%St Johnstone, model
- Draw27.3%model
- Away win41.4%Motherwell, model
- Expected goals1.21 - 1.42model
- 1Model: St Johnstone 31.3%, draw 27.3%, Motherwell 41.4%.
- 2No full set of 1X2 prices is stored yet, so no gap can be measured here.
- 3The detailed analysis prices double chance, goals and both teams to score against the model.
Opportunities
- A price in another market than the 1X2 can be longer than the model says.
Risks
- In our backtests the model has not beaten the market: a gap needs a second look.
Market and model
What the model expects (1X2)
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
Other markets according to the model
Model probabilities only. The prices come with the detailed analysis.
The match
Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.