Turkey · Süper Lig · 19 Oct 2026, 18:00

Trabzonspor2 – 0Besiktas

Live · 90+'

Our callNo call: we looked closely and decided against it. Reasons are in the report below.

Match report

How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.

ScreeningCandidate · 14:25
Detailed analysisDropped after analysis · 14:31
Final checkNot needed

Dropped after analysisDetailed analysis · 19 Oct 2026, 14:31

Drop: a 2 pp gap is too small, and the data only agree with the price

Market41%Trabzonspor win, margin in
Model43.1%Trabzonspor win

Odds movement

Tipsport 1X2 · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 to 19 Oct 2026, 17:57

FirstLatestChange

Trabzonspor2.542.540.00

Draw3.623.77+0.15

Besiktas2.412.36-0.05

The match

Live: score and minute only. Key moments, statistics and line-ups come after full time.

Trabzonspor vs Besiktas · Oddvise

Market and model

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.

Trabzonspor winmarket 41% · model 43%

Drawmarket 28% · model 25%

Besiktas winmarket 40% · model 32%

Expected goals

What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.

1.68 - 1.43Trabzonspor - Besiktas

Most likely scores

From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.

Most likely1–1 11%2–1 9%1–2 8%

Probability of each exact score: rows are Trabzonspor goals, columns are Besiktas goals
Trabzonspor ↓ · Besiktas →	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	6	5	2	<1	<1
1	7	11	8	4	1	<1
2	6	9	6	3	1	<1
3	4	5	4	2

Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Trabzonspor and 5 for Besiktas.

Goal markets according to the model

Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.

Team comparison

Season profile

On each axis the better side reaches the rim. Seven matches each.

TrabzonsporBesiktas

	Trabzonspor	Besiktas
Goals per game	2.3	2.3
Shots on target	6.7	6.3
Big chances	4.6	2.7
Possession	55%	62%
Goals conceded	0.7	1.1
Duels won	53%	50%

Efficiency and defending

Trabzonspor miss more of what they create and face more shots.

TrabzonsporBesiktas

2.6Big chances missed per game1.1

3Clean sheets2

4.0Saves per game2.1

15.1Tackles per game12.7

Where they stand

Standing and context

Süper Lig after seven matches each.

Metric	Trabzonspor	Beşiktaş
Record	4W 1D 2L	5W 0D 2L
Points	13	15
Last match	Thu 15/10, KuPS 2-4 Trabzonspor	Thu 15/10, Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş
Referee	Cihan Aydin: 4.1 yellows, 0.23 reds a match
Venue	Papara Park, Trabzon
Kick-off	Mon 19 Oct, 18:00 Lisbon

Trabzonspor2 – 0Besiktas

Match report

Odds movement

The match

Trabzonspor2 – 0Besiktas

Match report

Odds movement

The match

Opportunities

Risks

Market and model

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Team comparison

Season profile

Efficiency and defending

Recent form and level of result

Last ten matches

Expected line-ups and absences

Expected starting XI

The two XIs compared

Absences

Where they stand

Standing and context