Süper Lig · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00

Corum vs Rizespor

Live · 1–1 kickoff 18:00

The tipCorum to winMatch result

Odds2.00

Stake0.5u

RiskLow

Confidence1/5

Where the edge is

Market (what the odds imply)50.0%

Our model63.7%

Fair odds (model)

1.57

Odds offered

2.00

Edge

+13.7 pp

1Model probability for Corum win: 63.7%. Probability implied by Tipsport at 2.00: 50.0%.
2Model expected goals: Corum 2.56, Rizespor 1.33.

Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.

Corum winmarket 50% · model 64%

Drawmarket 28% · model 18%

Rizespor winmarket 31% · model 18%

Source: Oddvise goal model poisson-dc-1; odds: Tipsport

What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.

2.56 - 1.33Corum - Rizespor

Source: Oddvise goal model poisson-dc-1; odds: Tipsport

Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.

• In backtests on about 21,000 real matches this model has not yet shown an edge over the market. A gap this large can mean the model is wrong rather than the market.
• The model uses league ratings only. It does not know lineups, injuries or rest days.

Tip published16 Oct 2026, 11:26 · odds 2.00

Closing oddspending · at kickoff

Resultpending