Turkey · Süper Lig · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00

Alanyaspor 1 – 2 Kocaelispor

Finished1st Half 0–2 · 2nd Half 1–0

Key moments

AlanyasporKocaelispor

27'⚽Kutlu B. (assist Rivas R.)
42'⚽Baku M. (Aye F.)
Ruan (assist Keskin E.)⚽52'

All events

Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: result, stats and line-ups · Oddvise

Our analysis

Biggest gap to the market: Kocaelispor to win, 26.5% for the model against 25.3% implied by Tipsport's odds of 3.96 (+1.2 pp). Our minimum for a call is 2 pp, so no call.

Read 23 Oct 2026, 15:00

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.

Alanyaspor winmarket 51% · model 41%

Drawmarket 32% · model 33%

Kocaelispor winmarket 25% · model 26%

Expected goals

What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.

1.08 - 0.82Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor

Most likely scores

From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.

Most likely0–0 16%1–0 15%1–1 14%

Probability of each exact score: rows are Alanyaspor goals, columns are Kocaelispor goals
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	16	12	5	1	<1	<1
1	15	14	5	1

Goal markets according to the model

Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.

Alanyaspor 1 – 2 Kocaelispor

Key moments

All events

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Alanyaspor 1 – 2 Kocaelispor

Key moments

All events

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Community

Tips

Talk about it

1st Half0–2

2nd Half1–0

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

Starting line-up

Kocaelispor

Starting line-up

At a glance

Statistics

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Odds movement

Community

Tips

Talk about it

Key moments

All events

After the match

What we expected against what happened

More matches on Friday, 23 Oct 2026

Key moments

All events

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Community

Tips

Talk about it

More matches on Friday, 23 Oct 2026

1st Half0–2

2nd Half1–0

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

Starting line-up

Kocaelispor

Starting line-up

At a glance

Statistics

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Odds movement

Community

Tips

Talk about it