Angers 2 – 5 Marseille

Our model gives Marseille win a 56.4% chance, against 50.8% implied by Tipsport's odds of 1.97: a gap of 5.6 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.

1. 1Model probability for Marseille win: 56.4%. Probability implied by Tipsport at 1.97: 50.8%.
2. 2Model expected goals: Angers 1.06, Marseille 1.89.