England · Championship · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00
Birmingham vs Millwall
Biggest gap to the market: Millwall to win, 29.1% for the model against 27.4% implied by Tipsport's odds of 3.65 (+1.7 pp). Our minimum for a call is 2 pp, so no call.
Read 3 Nov 2026, 16:01
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
Tipsport 1X2 · 2 Nov 2026, 20:02 to 3 Nov 2026, 06:27
Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 13%1–0 11%0–0 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Birmingham and 5 for Millwall.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
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