Mexico · Liga MX · 2 Nov 2026, 01:10
Cruz Azul vs Club Leon
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Cruz Azul to win at Betano 1.67: the model is 6.9 pp above the price
Cruz Azul to win at Betano 1.67: the model is 6.9 pp above the price. Model: Cruz Azul 66.8%. Betano 1.67 implies 59.9%: gap 6.9 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Tipsport 1X2 · 1 Nov 2026, 01:12 to 1 Nov 2026, 08:37
We published at 1.67. Latest: 1.68.
Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.
Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Model against Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Betano price shown as 1/odds, margin not removed.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely2–0 10%2–1 10%1–1 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Model against Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Betano price shown as 1/odds, margin not removed.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely2–0 10%2–1 10%1–1 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 10 |
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
| <1 |
| <1 |
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Cruz Azul and 5 for Club Leon.
| 10 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| <1 |
| <1 |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Cruz Azul and 5 for Club Leon.
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