Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 30 Oct 2026, 17:30
Cottbus vs Bochum
Upcoming · kicks off 17:30
Our callCottbus win or drawDouble chance · Betano
Odds1.55
Stake0.5u
RiskLow
ConfidenceConfidence 1/5
Market (odds)64.5%
Our model69.1%
Edge
Match report
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
- ScreeningCandidate · 09:10
- Detailed analysisUnder close analysis · 09:19
- Final checkDue about 16:15
Under close analysisDetailed analysis · 29 Oct 2026, 09:19
Cottbus or draw at 1.55: the model likes the hosts more than Betano does
- Model46 / 24 / 31 %Cottbus / draw / Bochum
- Market34 / 26 / 40 %Betano, margin out
Why we make this call
Cottbus or draw at 1.55: the model likes the hosts more than Betano does. Model: Cottbus or draw 69.1% against 64.5% in the Betano price (1.55): +4.6 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
- 1Model: Cottbus or draw 69.1% against 64.5% in the Betano price (1.55): +4.6 pp.
- 2Model has Cottbus 46%, draw 24%, Bochum 31%; Betano 2.72 / 3.60 / 2.30.
- 3Cottbus are 11th with 10 points, Bochum 14th with 8.
- 4The win alone (2.72) shows a gap of +8.7 pp but with more variance.
The evidence
Model against market (1X2)
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out.
Cottbus winmarket 34% · model 46%
The match
Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.