Italy · Serie B · 28 Oct 2026, 19:00

Carrarese vs Arezzo

Upcoming · kicks off 19:00

Our callNo call for this match.

Our analysis

Biggest gap to the market: Carrarese to win, 50.3% for the model against 46.7% implied by Tipsport's odds of 2.14 (+3.6 pp). Above our 2 pp minimum, but no tip was published.

Read 28 Oct 2026, 11:01

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.

Carrarese winmarket 47% · model 50%

Drawmarket 32% · model 26%

Arezzo winmarket 28% · model 24%

Expected goals

What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.

1.61 - 1.03Carrarese - Arezzo

Odds movement

Tipsport 1X2 · 27 Oct 2026, 19:01 to 28 Oct 2026, 09:27

FirstLatestChange

Carrarese2.212.14-0.07

Draw3.323.14-0.18

Arezzo3.163.53+0.37

The match

Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.

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Carrarese ↓ · Arezzo →	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	7	4	1	<1	<1
1	11	12	6	2	<1	<1
2	9	10	5	2	<1	<1
3	5	5	3	<1	<1	<1
4	2	2	1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

Carrarese vs Arezzo

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Odds movement

The match

Carrarese vs Arezzo

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Odds movement

The match

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Carrarese ↓ · Arezzo →	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	7	4	1	<1	<1
1	11	12	6	2	<1	<1
2	9	10	5	2	<1	<1
3	5	5	3	<1	<1	<1
4	2	2	1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

Carrarese ↓ · Arezzo →	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	7	4	1	<1	<1
1	11	12	6	2	<1	<1
2	9	10	5	2	<1	<1
3	5	5	3	<1	<1	<1
4	2	2	1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Odds movement

The match

More matches on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Odds movement

The match

More matches on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Carrarese ↓ · Arezzo →	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	7	4	1	<1	<1
1	11	12	6	2	<1	<1
2	9	10	5	2	<1	<1
3	5	5	3	<1	<1	<1
4	2	2	1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1