Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 5 Nov 2026, 00:30
0 – 0
CorinthiansWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Dropped: at the price read the gap is 1.6 pp, below the 2 pp minimum
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
Tipsport 1X2 · 4 Nov 2026, 00:31 to 5 Nov 2026, 00:33
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–0 14%1–1 14%0–0 12%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Sao Paulo and 5 for Corinthians.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
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