France · Ligue 1 · 25 Oct 2026, 16:15

Angers 0 – 0 Lorient

Finished1st Half 0–0 · 2nd Half 0–0

Our reportLorient to win looks worth a final check: the best defence of the two, and the model is above the priceRead it →

Key moments

No goals or red cards.

All events

AngersLorient

1st Half0–0

Allevinah J. for El Ouazzani A.⇄28'
Belkhdim Y.🟨33'

2nd Half0–0

Angers vs Lorient prediction and analysis · Oddvise

Match report

How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.

ScreeningCandidate · 18:45
Detailed analysisUnder close analysis · 18:54
Final checkNot done before kickoff

Under close analysisDetailed analysis · 24 Oct 2026, 18:54

Lorient to win looks worth a final check: the best defence of the two, and the model is above the price

Model43.3%Lorient win
Market38.9%Lorient win, margin out
Goals conceded2.1 / 0.9Angers / Lorient, per game
Clean sheets2 / 4Angers / Lorient, 7 matches
Out or doubtful3 / 4Angers / Lorient

1Model gives Lorient 43.3%; the market 38.9% (margin out), Tipsport 2.50.
2Lorient concede 0.9 a game against 2.1 for Angers, with four clean sheets to two.
3Lorient are 7th with 11 points, Angers 15th with 7.
4Against: Angers create more big chances (2.4 v 1.9) and are at home.

Opportunities

Angers have conceded 15 goals in seven games; Lorient only 6.
Lorient win more duels (55.9% against 50.1%) and make more interceptions (13.0).

Risks

Lorient score 1.0 a game and take 3.4 shots on target; goals may be scarce.
Angers create 2.4 big chances a game against 1.9 for Lorient.
Doubts: Camara, Belkebla, Biumla (Angers); Mbamba, Fadiga, Bamba (Lorient).
Seven matches each: noisy. Other markets not yet compared with the model.

Market and model

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.

Angers winmarket 33% · model 29%

Drawmarket 30% · model 28%

Lorient winmarket 40% · model 43%

Team comparison

Season profile

On each axis the better side reaches the rim. Seven matches each.

Expected line-ups and absences

Expected starting XI

Ratings are each player's average this season.

Expected line-ups (not official yet)

Angers4-3-3 · avg rating 6.66

7.0Sbaï

6.8Ouazzani

6.5

Where they stand

Standing and context

Ligue 1, seven matches each.

Metric	Angers	Lorient
Position	15th, 7 pts	7th, 11 pts
Goals	9 for, 15 against	7 for, 6 against
Last five league results	L D W L L	W D L W W
Manager	Stephane Gilli	Alexandre Dujeux
Referee	Azzedine Souifi	0.17 / 3.85 cards

Screening · 18:45 · Candidate: Lorient to win at 2.50, +3.3 pp against the market

Lorient to win: model 43.3% against 38.9% in the market, odds 2.50.
A gap of 3.3 pp; our minimum for a call is 2 pp.
League ratings only: no line-ups, injuries or form yet. The detailed analysis comes next.

In our backtests the model has not beaten the market: a gap needs a second look.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	8	4	1	<1
1	9	13	9	4	1	<1
2	5	7	5	2	<1	<1
3	2	2	2	<1	<1	<1
4	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	8	4	1	<1
1	9	13	9	4	1	<1
2	5	7	5	2	<1	<1
3	2	2	2	<1	<1	<1
4	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

	Angers	Lorient
Goals per game	1.3	1.0
Shots on target	3.0	3.4
Big chances	2.4	1.9
Possession	49%	46%
Goals conceded	2.1	0.9
Duels won	50%	56%

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	8	4	1	<1
1	9	13	9	4	1	<1
2	5	7	5	2	<1	<1
3	2	2	2	<1	<1	<1
4	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

Key moments

All events

1st Half0–0

2nd Half0–0

After the match

More matches on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026

Key moments

All events

1st Half0–0

2nd Half0–0

After the match

Community

Tips

Talk about it

More matches on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026

Line-ups

Angers

Starting line-up

Lorient

Starting line-up

At a glance

Statistics

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

What we learn

What we expected against what happened

Angers: expected line-up

Lorient: expected line-up

Match report

Opportunities

Risks

Market and model

Model against market (1X2)

Team comparison

Season profile

Expected line-ups and absences

Expected starting XI

Where they stand

Standing and context

Odds movement

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Defending and discipline

The two XIs compared

Absences

Community

Tips

Talk about it

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	8	4	1	<1
1	9	13	9	4	1	<1
2	5	7	5	2	<1	<1
3	2	2	2	<1	<1	<1
4	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1