Italy · Serie B · 27 Oct 2026, 19:00

Ascoli 2 – 0 Sampdoria

Finished1st Half 0–0 · 2nd Half 2–0

Key moments

AscoliSampdoria

Silipo A. (Brunori M.)⚽55'
Abildgaard O. (own goal)⚽82'

All events

AscoliSampdoria

1st Half0–0

Nothing to report.

2nd Half2–0

At a glance

AscoliSampdoria

0.62Expected goals (xG)0.68

67%Ball possession33%

12Total shots13

5Shots on target6

Statistics

AscoliSampdoria

Ascoli vs Sampdoria: result, stats and line-ups · Oddvise

Our analysis

Biggest gap to the market: Ascoli to win, 46.6% for the model against 46.9% implied by Tipsport's odds of 2.13 (−0.4 pp). Our minimum for a call is 2 pp, so no call.

Read 27 Oct 2026, 18:01

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.

Ascoli winmarket 47% · model 47%

Drawmarket 31% · model 30%

Sampdoria winmarket 29% · model 24%

Expected goals

What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.

1.3 - 0.85Ascoli - Sampdoria

Most likely scores

From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.

Most likely1–0 14%1–1 14%0–0 12%

Probability of each exact score: rows are Ascoli goals, columns are Sampdoria goals
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	9	4	1	<1	<1
1	14	14	5	2

Goal markets according to the model

Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.

Key moments

All events

1st Half0–0

2nd Half2–0

At a glance

Statistics

After the match

What we expected against what happened

More matches on Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026

Key moments

All events

1st Half0–0

2nd Half2–0

At a glance

Statistics

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Community

Tips

Talk about it

More matches on Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026

Line-ups

Ascoli

Starting line-up

Sampdoria

Starting line-up

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Odds movement

Community

Tips

Talk about it