Europe · Champions League · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00
Barcelona vs Aston Villa
Biggest gap to the market: Aston Villa to win, 16.8% for the model against 11.0% implied by Tipsport's odds of 9.05 (+5.8 pp). Above our 2 pp minimum, but no tip was published.
Read 3 Nov 2026, 16:01
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
Tipsport 1X2 · 2 Nov 2026, 20:02 to 3 Nov 2026, 15:32
Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely2–1 9%1–1 8%3–1 8%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Barcelona and 5 for Aston Villa.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Tips and posts about Barcelona vs Aston Villa. Free, no money played here. Community rules
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