Europe · Champions League · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00
Villarreal vs PSG
Biggest gap to the market: Villarreal to win, 30.5% for the model against 22.4% implied by Tipsport's odds of 4.47 (+8.2 pp). Above our 2 pp minimum, but no tip was published.
Read 3 Nov 2026, 16:01
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
Tipsport 1X2 · 2 Nov 2026, 20:02 to 3 Nov 2026, 17:42
Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 9%1–2 9%2–2 7%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | <1 |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | <1 |
| 4 | <1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Villarreal and 5 for PSG.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
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