Burnley 1 – 2 Wolves

Our model gives Burnley win a 51.1% chance, against 31.7% implied by Tipsport's odds of 3.15: a gap of 19.4 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.

1. 1Model probability for Burnley win: 51.1%. Probability implied by Tipsport at 3.15: 31.7%.
2. 2Model expected goals: Burnley 1.76, Wolves 1.15.