Celta Vigo 2 – 1 Alaves

Our model gives Celta Vigo win a 47.0% chance, against 43.3% implied by Tipsport's odds of 2.31: a gap of 3.8 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.

1. 1Model probability for Celta Vigo win: 47.0%. Probability implied by Tipsport at 2.31: 43.3%.
2. 2Model expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.48, Alaves 1.02.