Mexico · Liga MX · 1 Nov 2026, 03:10
2 – 2
TolucaWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Club America 2-2 Toluca: America lost the lead and a man
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Candidate: Club America to win at 2.23, +2.4 pp against the market
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds with the bookmaker's margin taken out.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
Tipsport 1X2 · 31 Oct 2026, 03:12 to 1 Nov 2026, 03:12
From the expected goals, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 12%2–1 9%1–0 8%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Club America and 5 for Toluca.
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