Mexico · Liga MX · 1 Nov 2026, 01:07
4 – 2
AtlanteWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Guadalajara 4-2 Atlante: the home win the screening did not back
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Candidate: Draw at 4.55, +2.4 pp against the market
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds with the bookmaker's margin taken out.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
Tipsport 1X2 · 31 Oct 2026, 01:09 to 1 Nov 2026, 01:01
From the expected goals, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–0 13%2–0 12%1–1 11%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 6 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Guadalajara Chivas and 5 for Atlante.
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