Europe · Europa League · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45

Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim

Upcoming · kicks off 17:45

Our callCrystal Palace to winMatch result · Betano

Odds1.90

Stake0.5u

RiskMedium

Confidence1/5

Market (odds)52.6%

Our model56.9%

Edge

Match report

How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.

ScreeningCandidate · 09:10
Detailed analysisUnder close analysis · 09:17
Final checkDue about 16:30

Under close analysisDetailed analysis · 4 Nov 2026, 09:17

Crystal Palace to win at 1.90: the model has them at 57%, the price implies 53%

Model57%Crystal Palace win

Why we back Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace to win at 1.90: the model has them at 57%, the price implies 53%. Model 57% for a Palace win against 53% in the 1.90 price: a gap of 4.3 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.

1Model 57% for a Palace win against 53% in the 1.90 price: a gap of 4.3 pp.
2Palace are at home in Selhurst Park; Hoffenheim are 23rd, Palace 15th.
3The model also sees over 2.5 and both-score, but the prices there are shorter than the model.

The evidence

Odds movement

Tipsport 1X2 · 4 Nov 2026, 17:46 to 5 Nov 2026, 05:51

FirstLatestChange

Crystal Palace1.941.88-0.06

Draw4.054.15+0.10

Hoffenheim3.723.88+0.16

We published at 1.90. Latest: 1.88.

The match

Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	3	1	<1	<1
1	9	11	6	2	<1	<1
2	9

	Crystal Palace	Hoffenheim
Goals per game	2.7	1.7
Shots on target	4.3	5.3
Big chances	2.7	2.7
Big chances missed	1.3	2.3
Goals conceded	1.7	1.7
Interceptions	14.3	12.0

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	3	1	<1	<1
1	9	11	6	2	<1	<1
2	9	10	5	2	<1	<1
3	6	6	4	1	<1	<1
4	3	3	2	<1	<1	<1
5	1	1	<1	<1	<1	<1

	Crystal Palace	Hoffenheim
Goals per game	2.7	1.7
Shots on target	4.3	5.3
Big chances	2.7	2.7
Big chances missed	1.3	2.3
Goals conceded	1.7	1.7
Interceptions	14.3	12.0

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	3	1	<1	<1
1	9	11	6	2	<1	<1
2	9	10	5	2	<1	<1
3	6	6	4	1	<1	<1
4	3	3	2	<1	<1	<1
5	1	1	<1	<1	<1	<1

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	3	1	<1	<1
1	9	11	6	2	<1	<1
2	9	10	5	2	<1	<1
3	6	6	4	1	<1	<1
4	3	3	2	<1	<1	<1
5	1	1	<1	<1	<1	<1

Match report

Why we back Crystal Palace

The evidence

Odds movement

The match

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Match report

Why we back Crystal Palace

The evidence

Odds movement

The match

Community

Tips

Talk about it

More matches on Thursday, 5 Nov 2026

Opportunities

Market and model

What the model expects (1X2)

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Other markets: model against the odds

Other markets: model against the odds (2)

Team comparison

Competition profile so far

Attack and defence per game

Other markets: model against the odds

Other markets: model against the odds (2)

Most likely scores

Competition profile so far

Attack and defence per game

What the model expects (1X2)

Goal markets according to the model

Model

Betano price

Gap

Expected goals

Expected goals

Did you take this call?

Community

Tips

Talk about it

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	3	1	<1	<1
1	9	11	6	2	<1	<1
2	9	10	5	2	<1	<1
3	6	6	4	1	<1	<1
4	3	3	2	<1	<1	<1
5	1	1	<1	<1	<1	<1