Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 29 Oct 2026, 22:30
Santos vs Palmeiras
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
No tip: Betano prices every market at or above the model
Tipsport 1X2 · 27 Oct 2026, 22:31 to 27 Oct 2026, 22:31
Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.
Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 13%0–1 11%1–2 9%
| Santos ↓ · Palmeiras → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 2 | <1 |
| 1 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | <1 |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Santos and 5 for Palmeiras.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Home/draw/away, over/under and both-to-score are margin-free; double chance is 1 over the odds (with margin). Prices: Betano.
Betano, read 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC. Gap is the model probability minus 1/odds.
| Selection | Odds | Price implies | Model | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 3.10 | 32.3% | 25.7% | -6.6 pp |
| Draw | 3.35 | 29.9% | 27% | -2.9 pp |
| Away win | 2.12 | 47.2% | 47.3% | +0.1 pp |
| Santos or draw | 1.65 | 60.6% | 52.7% | -7.9 pp |
| Palmeiras or draw | 1.33 | 75.2% | 74.3% | -0.9 pp |
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 | 58.8% | 47.2% | -11.7 pp |
| Under 2.5 | 1.82 | 54.9% | 52.8% | -2.1 pp |
| Both score: yes | 1.57 | 63.7% | 51.3% | -12.4 pp |
| Both score: no | 1.98 | 50.5% | 48.7% | -1.8 pp |
| <1 |
| <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|