Europe · Champions League · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00
FC Porto vs Napoli
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
No tip: under 2.5 and both-teams-no clash with two leaky defences
Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 14%1–0 13%0–0 13%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 2 |
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Read the day before the match.
| Market | 1 / yes / over / 1X | X / no / under / 12 | 2 / X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 2 | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Over / under 2.5 | 1.65 | 1.9 | |
| Both teams score (yes / no) | 1.57 | 2.02 | |
| Double chance (1X / 12 / X2) | 1.27 | 1.23 | 1.78 |
| <1 |
| <1 |
| 2 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for FC Porto and 5 for Napoli.
Tips and posts about FC Porto vs Napoli. Free, no money played here. Community rules
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