England · Championship · 4 Nov 2026, 19:45
Cardiff vs West Ham
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
West Ham to win at Cardiff: the model is 8 points above the price
West Ham to win at Cardiff: the model is 8 points above the price. Model 59% against 51% in the price (Betano 1.95): a gap of 7.9 pp for West Ham to win. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–2 9%1–1 8%1–3 7%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Read the day before the match.
| Market | 1 / yes / over / 1X | X / no / under / 12 | 2 / X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 3.2 | 3.95 | 1.95 |
| Over / under 2.5 | 1.34 | 2.55 | |
| Both teams score (yes / no) | 1.34 | 2.55 | |
| Double chance (1X / 12 / X2) | 1.78 | 1.19 | 1.32 |
Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–2 9%1–1 8%1–3 7%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | <1 |
| 4 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Cardiff and 5 for West Ham.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Read the day before the match.
| Market | 1 / yes / over / 1X | X / no / under / 12 | 2 / X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 3.2 | 3.95 | 1.95 |
| Over / under 2.5 | 1.34 | 2.55 | |
| Both teams score (yes / no) | 1.34 | 2.55 | |
| Double chance (1X / 12 / X2) | 1.78 | 1.19 | 1.32 |
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
| 6 |
| 5 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Cardiff and 5 for West Ham.
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