Greece · Super League · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30

Panathinaikos 5 – 1 Asteras Tripolis

Finished1st Half 2–0 · 2nd Half 3–1

Key moments

PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis

de Vrij S. (assist Kangwa K.)⚽27'
Louza I.⚽31'
60'⚽Papakanellos A. (assist Chrysopoulos K.)
Dessers C. (assist Louza I.)⚽62'
Calabria D. (assist Chirivella P.)

Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis: result, stats and line-ups · Oddvise

Our analysis

Biggest gap to the market: Asteras Tripolis to win, 11.1% for the model against 8.1% implied by Tipsport's odds of 12.40 (+3.0 pp). Above our 2 pp minimum, but no tip was published.

Read 18 Oct 2026, 15:00

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.

Panathinaikos winmarket 83% · model 70%

Drawmarket 17% · model 19%

Asteras Tripolis winmarket 8% · model 11%

Expected goals

What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.

2.26 - 0.79Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis

Most likely scores

From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.

Most likely2–0 12%1–0 10%2–1 10%

Probability of each exact score: rows are Panathinaikos goals, columns are Asteras Tripolis goals
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	3	1	<1	<1	<1
1	10	9	3	<1

Goal markets according to the model

Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.

Panathinaikos 5 – 1 Asteras Tripolis

Key moments

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Panathinaikos 5 – 1 Asteras Tripolis

Key moments

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Community

Tips

Talk about it

All events

1st Half2–0

2nd Half3–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

Starting line-up

Asteras Tripolis

Starting line-up

At a glance

Statistics

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Odds movement

Community

Tips

Talk about it

Key moments

After the match

What we expected against what happened

More matches on Sunday, 18 Oct 2026

Key moments

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Community

Tips

Talk about it

More matches on Sunday, 18 Oct 2026

All events

1st Half2–0

2nd Half3–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

Starting line-up

Asteras Tripolis

Starting line-up

At a glance

Statistics

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Odds movement

Community

Tips

Talk about it