England · Championship · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30
2 – 0 
PrestonWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Stoke 2-0 Preston: the model's lean held
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Preston or draw: the model gives the pair more than the Betano price
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out; the gap in the tip uses the raw price.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
Championship, twelve matches played.
| Metric | Stoke | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 24th |
| Points | 20 | not read |
| Record | 6W 2D 4L (18:16) | not read |
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1.72 / 3.65 / 4.40 |
| Double chance X2 | 2.00 |
| Over / under 2.5 |
Preston or draw at Stoke, 2.00. Model 52.8% for Preston or a draw against 50.0% in the Betano price (2.00): a gap of 2.8 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out; the gap in the tip uses the raw price.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 13%1–0 12%2–1 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 2 |
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Championship, twelve matches played.
| Metric | Stoke | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 24th |
| Points | 20 | not read |
| Record | 6W 2D 4L (18:16) | not read |
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1.72 / 3.65 / 4.40 |
| Double chance X2 | 2.00 |
| Over / under 2.5 | 1.75 / 1.75 |
| Both teams to score | 1.70 / 1.82 |
Tipsport 1X2 · 30 Oct 2026, 12:31 to 31 Oct 2026, 12:31
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 13%1–0 12%2–1 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Stoke and 5 for Preston.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
| 1.75 / 1.75 |
| Both teams to score | 1.70 / 1.82 |
| <1 |
| <1 |
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Stoke and 5 for Preston.
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