Argentina · Liga Profesional · 1 Nov 2026, 18:00

Boca Juniors 1 – 0 River Plate

Finished1st Half 1–0 · 2nd Half 0–0

Key moments

Boca JuniorsRiver Plate

10'🟥Martinez Quarta L.
Di Lollo L. (Villa S.)⚽27'
79'🟥Montiel G.

All events

Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors vs River Plate: result, stats and line-ups · Oddvise

Our analysis

Biggest gap to the market: Boca Juniors to win, 46.6% for the model against 46.5% implied by Tipsport's odds of 2.15 (+0.1 pp). Our minimum for a call is 2 pp, so no call.

Read 1 Nov 2026, 15:01

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.

Boca Juniors winmarket 47% · model 47%

Drawmarket 31% · model 29%

River Plate winmarket 27% · model 25%

Expected goals

What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.

1.38 - 0.94Boca Juniors - River Plate

Most likely scores

From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.

Most likely1–1 13%1–0 13%0–0 10%

Probability of each exact score: rows are Boca Juniors goals, columns are River Plate goals
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	9	4	1	<1	<1
1	13	13	6	2

Goal markets according to the model

Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.

Boca Juniors 1 – 0 River Plate

Key moments

All events

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Boca Juniors 1 – 0 River Plate

Key moments

All events

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Community

Tips

Talk about it

1st Half1–0

2nd Half0–0

Line-ups

Boca Juniors

Starting line-up

River Plate

Starting line-up

At a glance

Statistics

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Odds movement

Community

Tips

Talk about it

Key moments

All events

After the match

What we expected against what happened

More matches on Sunday, 1 Nov 2026

Key moments

All events

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Community

Tips

Talk about it

More matches on Sunday, 1 Nov 2026

1st Half1–0

2nd Half0–0

Line-ups

Boca Juniors

Starting line-up

River Plate

Starting line-up

At a glance

Statistics

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Odds movement

Community

Tips

Talk about it