France · Ligue 1 · 30 Oct 2026, 18:00
1 – 5 
PSGWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Le Havre 1-5 PSG: the under 2.5 tip lost, the goals came from PSG
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Under 2.5 goals at 2.80: PSG are missing five players and the model puts under at 40%
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out.
Double chance and over/under 2.5 and both teams to score, margin taken out of each market.
Injured or doubtful players listed a day ahead.
League table before the match; last five results in the order the page shows them.
| Metric | Le Havre | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 18th, 2 pts | 1st, 17 pts |
| Last five | D L L L L | W W W W W |
| Goals this season | 8 scored, 15 conceded (8) | 16 scored, 9 conceded (8) |
Under 2.5 goals at 2.80: PSG are missing five players and the model puts under at 40%. Model: under 2.5 goals 40.3% against 35.7% in the Betano price (2.80): +4.5 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out.
Double chance and over/under 2.5 and both teams to score, margin taken out of each market.
Tipsport 1X2 · 29 Oct 2026, 18:01 to 30 Oct 2026, 18:01
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely0–2 10%1–2 10%1–1 10%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | <1 |
| 3 | <1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Le Havre and 5 for PSG.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely0–2 10%1–2 10%1–1 10%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | <1 |
| 3 | <1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Le Havre and 5 for PSG.
Injured or doubtful players listed a day ahead.
League table before the match; last five results in the order the page shows them.
| Metric | Le Havre | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 18th, 2 pts | 1st, 17 pts |
| Last five | D L L L L | W W W W W |
| Goals this season | 8 scored, 15 conceded (8) | 16 scored, 9 conceded (8) |
Tips and posts about Le Havre vs PSG. Free, no money played here. Community rules
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