Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 30 Oct 2026, 17:30
3 – 1 
BraunschweigWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Bielefeld 3-1 Braunschweig: home win the model liked less than the price
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Bielefeld v Braunschweig: no market beats the price by 2 pp
Tipsport 1X2 · 29 Oct 2026, 17:31 to 30 Oct 2026, 17:33
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out.
Double chance and over/under 2.5 and both teams to score, margin taken out of each market.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 12%2–1 10%1–0 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 3 |
| <1 |
| <1 |
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 5 for Braunschweig.
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