France · Ligue 1 · 30 Oct 2026, 18:00
5 – 2
RennesWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Nice 5-2 Rennes: seven goals, the model's under-pricing of goals showed
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Nice v Rennes: Betano prices goals higher than the model, no gap
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out.
Double chance and over/under 2.5 and both teams to score, margin taken out of each market.
Tipsport 1X2 · 29 Oct 2026, 18:01 to 30 Oct 2026, 18:01
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 11%1–2 8%2–1 8%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | <1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | <1 |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | <1 |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Nice and 5 for Rennes.
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