Germany · Bundesliga · 30 Oct 2026, 19:30
4 – 1 
MainzWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Elversberg 4-1 Mainz: the double chance won comfortably
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Elversberg or draw at 1.65: the model sees them far closer to Mainz than the price does
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out.
Double chance and over/under 2.5 and both teams to score, margin taken out of each market.
League table before the match; last five results in the order the page shows them.
| Metric | Elversberg | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th, 10 pts | 7th, 10 pts |
| Last five | L D L W L | L W L W L |
| Goals this season | 12 scored, 15 conceded (7) | 16 scored, 13 conceded (7) |
Elversberg or draw at 1.65: the model sees them far closer to Mainz than the price does. Model: Elversberg or draw 70.6% against 60.6% in the Betano price (1.65): +10 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out.
Double chance and over/under 2.5 and both teams to score, margin taken out of each market.
Tipsport 1X2 · 29 Oct 2026, 19:31 to 30 Oct 2026, 19:24
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 10%2–1 9%1–2 7%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | <1 |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | <1 |
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Elversberg and 5 for Mainz.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 10%2–1 9%1–2 7%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | <1 |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | <1 |
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Elversberg and 5 for Mainz.
League table before the match; last five results in the order the page shows them.
| Metric | Elversberg | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th, 10 pts | 7th, 10 pts |
| Last five | L D L W L | L W L W L |
| Goals this season | 12 scored, 15 conceded (7) | 16 scored, 13 conceded (7) |
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