England · Championship · 3 Nov 2026, 19:45
QPR vs Burnley
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Dropped: the model's Burnley gap rests on a side that is 22nd with five players out
Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 13%0–1 9%1–0 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 |
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin.
Championship table before the match. Lower position is better.
As listed a day before the match.
No notable absences.
Last five results, oldest first.
| Metric | QPR | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 22th |
| Points | 20 | 9 |
| Last five | D W L W L | W D L L D |
| 1 |
| <1 |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | <1 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for QPR and 5 for Burnley.
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