England · Championship · 3 Nov 2026, 19:45
Charlton vs Bolton
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Bolton to win at 3.00: the model gives 37.6% against 33.3% in the price
Bolton to win at 3.00: the model gives 37.6% against 33.3% in the price. Model: Bolton win 37.6%. Betano 3.00 implies 33.3%: gap +4.3 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Key moments, statistics and line-ups appear after full time.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 13%0–1 9%1–0 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 |
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin.
Championship table before the match. Lower position is better.
As listed a day before the match.
Last five results, oldest first.
| Metric | Charlton | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 20th | 19th |
| Points | 14 | 14 |
| Last five | D D L L L | L W D L L |
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 13%0–1 9%1–0 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | <1 |
| 2 | 6 | 8 |
Championship table before the match. Lower position is better.
As listed a day before the match.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Last five results, oldest first.
| Metric | Charlton | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 20th | 19th |
| Points | 14 | 14 |
| Last five | D D L L L | L W D L L |
| 1 |
| <1 |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | <1 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Charlton and 5 for Bolton.
| 5 |
| 2 |
| <1 |
| <1 |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | <1 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Charlton and 5 for Bolton.
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