Italy · Serie A · 25 Oct 2026, 19:45

Udinese 0 – 2 AC Milan

Finished1st Half 0–1 · 2nd Half 0–1

Key moments

UdineseAC Milan

6'⚽Pulisic C. (Modric L.)
65'⚽Hutchinson O.

All events

UdineseAC Milan

1st Half0–1

At a glance

UdineseAC Milan

0.42Expected goals (xG)3.13

40%Ball possession60%

12Total shots19

5Shots on target7

Statistics

UdineseAC Milan

Udinese vs AC Milan: result, stats and line-ups · Oddvise

Our analysis

Biggest gap to the market: Udinese to win, 29.2% for the model against 21.0% implied by Tipsport's odds of 4.77 (+8.3 pp). Above our 2 pp minimum, but no tip was published.

Read 25 Oct 2026, 18:00

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.

Udinese winmarket 21% · model 29%

Drawmarket 27% · model 26%

AC Milan winmarket 56% · model 44%

Expected goals

What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.

1.2 - 1.53Udinese - AC Milan

Most likely scores

From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.

Most likely1–1 13%0–1 9%1–2 9%

Probability of each exact score: rows are Udinese goals, columns are AC Milan goals
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	9	8	4	1	<1
1	7	13	9	5

Goal markets according to the model

Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.

Udinese 0 – 2 AC Milan

Key moments

All events

1st Half0–1

At a glance

Statistics

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Udinese 0 – 2 AC Milan

Key moments

All events

1st Half0–1

At a glance

Statistics

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Community

Tips

Talk about it

2nd Half0–1

Line-ups

Udinese

Starting line-up

AC Milan

Starting line-up

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Odds movement

Community

Tips

Talk about it

Key moments

All events

1st Half0–1

At a glance

Statistics

After the match

What we expected against what happened

More matches on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026

Key moments

All events

1st Half0–1

At a glance

Statistics

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Community

Tips

Talk about it

More matches on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026

2nd Half0–1

Line-ups

Udinese

Starting line-up

AC Milan

Starting line-up

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Our analysis

Model against market (1X2)

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Odds movement

Community

Tips

Talk about it