Argentina · Liga Profesional · 27 Oct 2026, 22:00
1 – 0 
Ind. RivadaviaWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Ind. Rivadavia: as the model read it
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Argentinos Juniors to win at 2.06: the model sees a gap at home
Argentinos Jrs to win at 2.06: the better defence at home, and Rivadavia miss three players. Model: Argentinos 52%, draw 27%, Rivadavia 21%. Market (Tipsport 2.06 / 3.19 / 3.92, margin out): 46%, 30%, 24%. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Tipsport 1X2 · 26 Oct 2026, 22:01 to 26 Oct 2026, 22:01
We published at 2.06. Latest: 2.06.
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–0 13%1–1 13%2–0 11%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 2 |
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
On each axis the better side reaches the rim. Whole 2026 season: 32 and 30 matches.
Argentinos concede far less and keep the ball.
Rivadavia miss three players, Argentinos one.
Line-ups and absences were not read for this match.
| Item | Detail |
|---|---|
| Price | Argentinos Jrs 2.06 (Tipsport, stored feed) |
| Kick-off | Wed 28 Oct, 22:00 Lisbon |
| Line-ups | not read |
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
Margin taken out. Prices from bwin on the match page, not Tipsport.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–0 13%1–1 13%2–0 11%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 11 |
On each axis the better side reaches the rim. Whole 2026 season: 32 and 30 matches.
Argentinos concede far less and keep the ball.
Rivadavia miss three players, Argentinos one.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Liga Profesional, Clausura.
| Metric | Argentinos Jrs | Ind. Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd, 25 pts | 9th, 19 pts |
| Season goals | 38:25 in 32 | 47:38 in 30 |
| Last five (oldest first) | D L W D W | W W D L D |
| Manager | Nicolás Diez | Alfredo Berti |
| Kick-off | Tue 27 Oct, 22:00 Lisbon | Argentinos home |
| <1 |
| <1 |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Argentinos Jrs and 5 for Ind. Rivadavia.
| 9 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| <1 |
| <1 |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Argentinos Jrs and 5 for Ind. Rivadavia.
Tips and posts about Argentinos Jrs vs Ind. Rivadavia. Free, no money played here. Community rules
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