Mexico · Liga MX · 2 Nov 2026, 01:10
2 – 1 
Club LeonWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Cruz Azul 2-1 Club Leon: the tip won
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Cruz Azul to win at Betano 1.67: the model is 6.9 pp above the price
Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Model against Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Cruz Azul to win at Betano 1.67: the model is 6.9 pp above the price. Model: Cruz Azul 66.8%. Betano 1.67 implies 59.9%: gap 6.9 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Model against Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Tipsport 1X2 · 1 Nov 2026, 01:12 to 2 Nov 2026, 01:03
We published at 1.67. Latest: 1.68.
Betano price shown as 1/odds, margin not removed.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely2–0 10%2–1 10%1–1 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Cruz Azul and 5 for Club Leon.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Betano price shown as 1/odds, margin not removed.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely2–0 10%2–1 10%1–1 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Cruz Azul and 5 for Club Leon.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
Tips and posts about Cruz Azul vs Club Leon. Free, no money played here. Community rules
Nobody gave a tip on this match.
Tips closed at kickoff.
Sign in to post. Reading is free.