USA · MLS · 2 Nov 2026, 02:45
3 – 1 
Houston DynamoWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Portland 3-1 Houston: the tip lost
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Houston Dynamo or draw at Betano 1.95: the model is 6.5 pp above the price
Houston Dynamo or draw at Betano 1.95: the model is 6.5 pp above the price. Model: Houston or draw 57.8%. Betano 1.95 implies 51.3%: gap 6.5 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Tipsport 1X2 · 1 Nov 2026, 02:46 to 2 Nov 2026, 02:46
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Model against Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Betano price shown as 1/odds, margin not removed.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 12%2–1 9%1–0 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 3 |
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Model against Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Betano price shown as 1/odds, margin not removed.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 12%2–1 9%1–0 9%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | <1 |
| 2 | 7 |
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
| 1 |
| <1 |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Portland Timbers and 5 for Houston Dynamo.
| 9 |
| 6 |
| 2 |
| <1 |
| <1 |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Portland Timbers and 5 for Houston Dynamo.
Tips and posts about Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo. Free, no money played here. Community rules
Nobody gave a tip on this match.
Tips closed at kickoff.
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