Turkey · Süper Lig · 2 Nov 2026, 17:00
5 – 0
AlanyasporWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Genclerbirligi 5-0 Alanyaspor: far above the model's expectations
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
No value at Betano: the model is below the price on all 11 markets
Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Model against Betano odds with the margin taken out.
Tipsport 1X2 · 1 Nov 2026, 17:01 to 2 Nov 2026, 16:57
Betano price shown as 1/odds, margin not removed.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 14%1–0 10%0–1 10%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | <1 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Genclerbirligi and 5 for Alanyaspor.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
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