Italy · Serie A · 28 Oct 2026, 19:45
2 – 0
JuventusWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Genoa 2-0 Juventus: not the model's main outcome
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Candidate: Genoa v Juventus, model reading only; the other markets are to be priced
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
Tipsport 1X2 · 27 Oct 2026, 19:46 to 28 Oct 2026, 19:46
Model probabilities only. The prices come with the detailed analysis.
From the expected goals, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely0–1 13%1–1 13%0–2 11%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 2 | <1 |
| 1 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | <1 |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Genoa and 5 for Juventus.
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