Netherlands · Eredivisie · 1 Nov 2026, 13:30
4 – 2
UtrechtWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
Biggest gap to the market: Telstar to win, 33.1% for the model against 31.6% implied by Tipsport's odds of 3.16 (+1.4 pp). Our minimum for a call is 2 pp, so no call.
Read 1 Nov 2026, 12:01
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 10%1–2 9%2–1 8%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | <1 |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 5 |
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Tipsport 1X2 · 31 Oct 2026, 13:31 to 1 Nov 2026, 13:27
| 2 |
| <1 |
| 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | <1 |
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | <1 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Telstar and 5 for Utrecht.
Tips and posts about Telstar vs Utrecht. Free, no money played here. Community rules
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Tips closed at kickoff.
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