Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 28 Oct 2026, 22:30

Fluminense 2 – 1 Internacional

Finished1st Half 0–0 · 2nd Half 2–1

Our reportNo tip: the best gap at Betano is 1.4 ppRead it →

Key moments

FluminenseInternacional

46'⚽Alan Patrick (assist Matheus Bahia)
Hercules⚽78'
Acosta L.⚽

Fluminense vs Internacional prediction and analysis · Oddvise

Match report

How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.

ScreeningCandidate · 09:10
Detailed analysisDropped after analysis · 09:21
Final checkNot needed

Dropped after analysisDetailed analysis · 28 Oct 2026, 09:21

No tip: the best gap at Betano is 1.4 pp

Model, best gap54.6%Home win
Price1.88Betano: implies 53.2%
Gap+1.4 ppModel minus price
Out0 / 0Fluminense / Internacional
Kick-off22:30Wed 28 Oct

1Best gap is Home win: 1.4 pp at 1.88 on Betano.
2None: the Fluminense win is 1.4 pp above the price, under the 2 pp minimum.

Opportunities

None: the Fluminense win is 1.4 pp above the price, under the 2 pp minimum.

Risks

Fluminense have lost three league games in a row.
Absences not read: no gap to test them against.

Market and model

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.

Fluminense winmarket 49% · model 55%

Drawmarket 27% · model 26%

Internacional winmarket 24% · model 19%

Prices read

Prices and gaps

Betano, read 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC. Gap is the model probability minus 1/odds.

Selection	Odds	Price implies	Model	Gap
Home win	1.88	53.2%	54.6%	+1.4 pp
Draw	3.35	29.9%	26%	-3.8 pp
Away win	3.85	26%	19.4%	-6.6 pp
Fluminense or draw	1.23	81.3%	80.6%	-0.7 pp
Internacional or draw	1.83	54.6%	45.4%	-9.2 pp
Over 2.5	1.82	54.9%

Screening · 09:10 · Candidate: Fluminense v Internacional, model reading only; the other markets are to be priced

Model: Fluminense 54.6%, draw 26.0%, Internacional 19.4%.
No 1X2 gap of 2 pp (best 2.0 pp): the other markets are still to be priced.
The detailed analysis prices double chance, goals and both teams to score against the model.

In our backtests the model has not beaten the market: a gap needs a second look.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	7	3	<1	<1	<1
1	13	12	5	1	<1	<1
2	11	9	4	1	<1	<1
3	6	5	2	<1	<1	<1
4	2	2	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	7	3	<1	<1	<1
1	13	12	5	1	<1	<1
2	11	9	4	1	<1	<1
3	6	5	2	<1	<1	<1
4	2	2	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	7	3	<1	<1	<1
1	13	12	5	1	<1	<1
2	11	9	4	1	<1	<1
3	6	5	2	<1	<1	<1
4	2	2	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

Key moments

After the match

What we expected against what happened

More matches on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026

Key moments

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Community

Tips

Talk about it

More matches on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026

All events

1st Half0–0

2nd Half2–1

Line-ups

Fluminense

Starting line-up

Internacional

Starting line-up

At a glance

Statistics

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Match report

Opportunities

Risks

Market and model

Model against market (1X2)

Prices read

Prices and gaps

Odds movement

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Other markets: model against the odds

Community

Tips

Talk about it

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	7	3	<1	<1	<1
1	13	12	5	1	<1	<1
2	11	9	4	1	<1	<1
3	6	5	2	<1	<1	<1
4	2	2	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1