Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 28 Oct 2026, 22:30

Santos 0 – 0 Palmeiras

Finished1st Half 0–0 · 2nd Half 0–0

Our reportNo tip: Betano prices every market at or above the modelRead it →

Key moments

No goals or red cards.

All events

SantosPalmeiras

1st Half0–0

Coutinho🟨38'
38'

Santos vs Palmeiras prediction and analysis · Oddvise

Match report

How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.

ScreeningCandidate · 09:10
Detailed analysisDropped after analysis · 09:21
Final checkNot needed

Dropped after analysisDetailed analysis · 28 Oct 2026, 09:21

No tip: Betano prices every market at or above the model

Model, best gap47.3%Away win
Price2.12Betano: implies 47.2%
Gap+0.1 ppModel minus price
Out0 / 0Santos / Palmeiras
Kick-off22:30Wed 28 Oct

1Best gap is Away win: 0.1 pp at 2.12 on Betano.
2None: no market has a 2 pp gap at Betano's price.

Opportunities

None: no market has a 2 pp gap at Betano's price.

Risks

Palmeiras to win is 47.2% in the price and 47.3% in the model.
Absences not read: no gap to test them against.

Market and model

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is the Betano odds with the margin taken out.

Santos winmarket 30% · model 26%

Drawmarket 27% · model 27%

Palmeiras winmarket 43% · model 47%

Prices read

Prices and gaps

Betano, read 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC. Gap is the model probability minus 1/odds.

Selection	Odds	Price implies	Model	Gap
Home win	3.10	32.3%	25.7%	-6.6 pp
Draw	3.35	29.9%	27%	-2.9 pp
Away win	2.12	47.2%	47.3%	+0.1 pp
Santos or draw	1.65	60.6%	52.7%	-7.9 pp
Palmeiras or draw	1.33	75.2%	74.3%	-0.9 pp
Over 2.5	1.70	58.8%

Screening · 09:10 · Candidate: Palmeiras to win at 2.28, +3.4 pp against the market

Palmeiras to win: model 47.3% against 42.1% in the market, odds 2.28.
A gap of 3.4 pp; our minimum for a call is 2 pp.
League ratings only: no line-ups, injuries or form yet. The detailed analysis comes next.

In our backtests the model has not beaten the market: a gap needs a second look.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	11	9	4	2	<1
1	8	13	9	5	2	<1
2	4	6	5	2	<1	<1
3	1	2	2	<1	<1	<1
4	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	11	9	4	2	<1
1	8	13	9	5	2	<1
2	4	6	5	2	<1	<1
3	1	2	2	<1	<1	<1
4	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	11	9	4	2	<1
1	8	13	9	5	2	<1
2	4	6	5	2	<1	<1
3	1	2	2	<1	<1	<1
4	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

Key moments

All events

1st Half0–0

After the match

What we expected against what happened

More matches on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026

Key moments

All events

1st Half0–0

After the match

What we expected against what happened

Community

Tips

Talk about it

More matches on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026

2nd Half0–0

Line-ups

Santos

Starting line-up

Palmeiras

Starting line-up

At a glance

Statistics

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Match report

Opportunities

Risks

Market and model

Model against market (1X2)

Prices read

Prices and gaps

Odds movement

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Other markets: model against the odds

Community

Tips

Talk about it

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	11	9	4	2	<1
1	8	13	9	5	2	<1
2	4	6	5	2	<1	<1
3	1	2	2	<1	<1	<1
4	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1