What we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Post-match review3 Nov 2026, 09:19
Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina: a goal-rich away win
1Fiorentina won 4-2 away. The model had the sides level (Sassuolo 39%, Fiorentina 36%) with expected goals 1.57 - 1.51.
2No tip: the model was below the price on every market.
What we learn
Six goals against the 3.1 the model expected; a result that favoured the away side the model rated slightly lower.
No call was made.
What we expected against what happened
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
SassuoloFiorentina
1.57Goals the model expected1.51
0.86Expected goals in the match (xG)2.53
2Goals scored4
Match report
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
✓ScreeningCandidate · 09:10
✓Detailed analysisDropped after analysis · 09:18
3Final checkNot needed
Dropped after analysisDetailed analysis · 1 Nov 2026, 09:18
No value at Betano: the model is below the price on every market
2 – 4 
Fiorentina