Italy · Serie A · 27 Oct 2026, 19:45
1 – 3 
ComoWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Torino 1-3 Como: four goals ended the Under 2.5 tip
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Advance: Under 2.5 goals at 2.20 (bwin); Como's forwards are out, but the xG data lean to goals
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
Margin taken out. Prices from bwin on the match page, not Tipsport.
On each axis the better side reaches the rim. Eight matches each.
xG per game this season, eight matches each. Not the model: a plain read.
Both sides are above their xPTS.
Como are without three forwards.
Serie A after eight matches each.
| Metric | Torino | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th, 13 pts | 5th, 17 pts |
| Record | 4W 1D 3L (13:11) | 5W 2D 1L (14:7) |
| Last five (oldest first) | L D W W W | W L D W W |
| Manager | Ignazio Abate | Cesc Fàbregas |
| Kick-off | Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 Lisbon | Torino home |
Under 2.5 goals in Torino v Como at 2.20: Como's forwards are out. Model: Torino 22%, draw 25%, Como 52%. The gap is in goals: Under 2.5 at 2.20 (bwin), model 49%, price 45%. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.
Margin taken out. Prices from bwin on the match page, not Tipsport.
Tipsport 1X2 · 26 Oct 2026, 19:47 to 27 Oct 2026, 19:46
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 12%0–1 11%1–2 10%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | <1 |
| 1 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | <1 |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | <1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Torino and 5 for Como.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Como create and shoot more and concede less.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 12%0–1 11%1–2 10%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | <1 |
| 1 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | <1 |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | <1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Torino and 5 for Como.
On each axis the better side reaches the rim. Eight matches each.
Como create and shoot more and concede less.
xG per game this season, eight matches each. Not the model: a plain read.
Both sides are above their xPTS.
Como are without three forwards.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Serie A after eight matches each.
| Metric | Torino | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th, 13 pts | 5th, 17 pts |
| Record | 4W 1D 3L (13:11) | 5W 2D 1L (14:7) |
| Last five (oldest first) | L D W W W | W L D W W |
| Manager | Ignazio Abate | Cesc Fàbregas |
| Kick-off | Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 Lisbon | Torino home |
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