Argentina · Liga Profesional · 31 Oct 2026, 00:15

Racing Club 2 – 1 Aldosivi

Finished1st Half 1–1 · 2nd Half 1–0

Our reportDropped: Betano prices the Racing win almost where the model doesRead it →

Key moments

Racing ClubAldosivi

20'⚽Vombergar A. (assist Anso F.)
Adrian Martinez (assist Conechny T.)⚽24'
Rodriguez I. (penalty)⚽60'

Racing Club vs Aldosivi prediction and analysis · Oddvise

Match report

How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.

ScreeningCandidate · 09:10
Detailed analysisDropped after analysis · 09:23
Final checkNot needed

Dropped after analysisDetailed analysis · 30 Oct 2026, 09:23

Dropped: Betano prices the Racing win almost where the model does

Model62.9%Racing Club win
Betano price1.62Racing Club win
Best gap+1.2 ppmodel minus 1/odds, any market
Expected goals1.82 - 0.73Racing Club - Aldosivi
Draw23.2%Betano 3.35
CheckedPrices onlyno gap to check

1Model 62.9% for Racing against 61.7% at 1.62 on Betano: +1.2 pp.
2Double chance 1X (1.16), goals markets and both teams to score are all at or above the model.
3The Tipsport price of 1.65 behind the screening is not the base price: dropped.

Opportunities

None at the Betano prices.

Risks

Aldosivi lost three of their last five, but the price already reflects it.
The model has not beaten the market in backtests.

Market and model

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out; the gap in the tip uses the raw price.

Racing Club winmarket 55% · model 63%

Drawmarket 27% · model 23%

Aldosivi winmarket 19% · model 14%

Model against market (1X2)

Market probability is 1 divided by the odds, so it includes the bookmaker margin.

Standing and context

Prices on Betano.pt

Market	Price
1X2	1.62 / 3.35 / 4.80
Double chance	1.16 / 2.10 / 1.21
Over / under 2.5	1.88 / 1.65
Both teams to score	1.82 / 1.70

Screening · 09:10 · Candidate: Racing Club to win at 1.65, +2.2 pp against the market

Racing Club to win: model 62.8% against 57.6% in the market, odds 1.65.
A gap of 2.2 pp; our minimum for a call is 2 pp.
League ratings only: no line-ups, injuries or form yet. The detailed analysis comes next.

In our backtests the model has not beaten the market: a gap needs a second look.

Most likely scores

From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.

Most likely1–0 14%2–0 13%1–1 11%

Probability of each exact score: rows are Racing Club goals, columns are Aldosivi goals
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	5	2	<1	<1	<1
1	14	11	4	<1	<1	<1
2	13	9	3	<1	<1	<1
3	8	6	2	<1	<1	<1
4	4	3	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Racing Club and 5 for Aldosivi.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	5	2	<1	<1	<1
1	14	11	4	<1	<1	<1
2	13	9	3	<1	<1	<1
3	8	6	2	<1	<1	<1
4	4	3	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	5	2	<1	<1	<1
1	14	11	4	<1	<1	<1
2	13	9	3	<1	<1	<1
3	8	6	2	<1	<1	<1
4	4	3	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1

Key moments

After the match

More matches on Saturday, 31 Oct 2026

Key moments

After the match

Community

Tips

Talk about it

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All events

1st Half1–1

2nd Half1–0

Line-ups

Racing Club

Starting line-up

Aldosivi

Starting line-up

At a glance

Statistics

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

What we learn

What we expected against what happened

Match report

Opportunities

Risks

Market and model

Model against market (1X2)

Model against market (1X2)

Standing and context

Prices on Betano.pt

Odds movement

Expected goals

Most likely scores

Goal markets according to the model

Community

Tips

Talk about it

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	5	2	<1	<1	<1
1	14	11	4	<1	<1	<1
2	13	9	3	<1	<1	<1
3	8	6	2	<1	<1	<1
4	4	3	<1	<1	<1	<1
5	1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1