Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 31 Oct 2026, 12:00
0 – 3 
Hertha BerlinWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Kaiserslautern 0-3 Hertha Berlin: the model's lean did not hold
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Kaiserslautern at home: the model sees a win the Betano price undersells
Kaiserslautern to beat Hertha at 2.90. Model 39.5% against 34.5% in the Betano price (2.90): a gap of 5.0 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Tipsport 1X2 · 30 Oct 2026, 12:01 to 31 Oct 2026, 12:03
We published at 2.90. Latest: 2.95.
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out; the gap in the tip uses the raw price.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 12%2–1 9%1–2 8%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | <1 |
| 2 | 6 |
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
Nine matches each.
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
| 1X2 | 2.90 / 3.50 / 2.22 |
| Double chance 1X | 1.60 |
| Over / under 2.5 | 1.52 / 2.07 |
| Both teams to score | 1.45 / 2.22 |
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out; the gap in the tip uses the raw price.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely1–1 12%2–1 9%1–2 8%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | <1 |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | <1 |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Kaiserslautern and 5 for Hertha Berlin.
Nine matches each.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
| 1X2 | 2.90 / 3.50 / 2.22 |
| Double chance 1X | 1.60 |
| Over / under 2.5 | 1.52 / 2.07 |
| Both teams to score | 1.45 / 2.22 |
| 9 |
| 6 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| <1 |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Kaiserslautern and 5 for Hertha Berlin.
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