Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 31 Oct 2026, 12:00
2 – 0 
VfL OsnabruckWhat we expected before kickoff against what happened. The numbers come from what we stored before the match and from the details read after full time.
Wolfsburg 2-0 VfL Osnabruck: the model's lean held
The model's goals were set before the match, from league ratings. The xG is what the match produced.
How we looked at this match before kickoff: a first screening, a detailed analysis and, close to kickoff, a final check that settles the risks and the decision.
Wolfsburg at home: the model rates the win higher than the Betano price
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out; the gap in the tip uses the raw price.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
Nine matches each.
Wolfsburg to beat Osnabrück at 1.53. Model 69.6% against 65.4% in the Betano price (1.53): a gap of 4.2 pp. This is an estimate, not a guarantee. Confidence and stake are set to the minimum while our track record is empty.
Market probability is the Betano price with the margin taken out; the gap in the tip uses the raw price.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely2–1 8%3–1 8%2–0 7%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
Nine matches each.
SofaScore, no return date given.
No notable absences.
Model probabilities only. No complete set of stored prices.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1.53 / 4.60 / 4.75 |
| Double chance 1X | 1.17 |
| Over / under 2.5 | 1.33 / 2.60 |
| Both teams to score | 1.42 / 2.30 |
Tipsport 1X2 · 30 Oct 2026, 12:01 to 31 Oct 2026, 12:03
We published at 1.53. Latest: 1.58.
What the model expects each side to score, from league ratings.
From the expected goals above, with the model's correction for low scores.
Most likely2–1 8%3–1 8%2–0 7%
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Wolfsburg and 5 for VfL Osnabruck.
Model probabilities only. No stored prices for these markets.
SofaScore, no return date given.
No notable absences.
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1.53 / 4.60 / 4.75 |
| Double chance 1X | 1.17 |
| Over / under 2.5 | 1.33 / 2.60 |
| Both teams to score | 1.42 / 2.30 |
| <1 |
| <1 |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
|---|
Percent. Scores up to 5 goals for Wolfsburg and 5 for VfL Osnabruck.
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